6435432

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$0No · avg 99.7¢ → 98.9¢ · $38

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$31.0k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$15

Last 30 days −$0 · $31.7k volume · 17 trades · since Jan 11, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$15

Open P&L · 1 positions

−$0

Closed-position win rate

70%

10 closed

Wallet age · markets

287d

11 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢	$15.5k	1%	246d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$15.5k	99%	246d ago	excluded

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.3¢$15.5k

LOW 6435432 · 246d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$15.5k

LOW 6435432 · 246d ago

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