← Wallets
−$31No · avg 98.6¢ → 98.5¢ · $27.1k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -4.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-4.6 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$24.5k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$5,665
Last 30 days −$253 · $1.59M volume · 866 trades · since Apr 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$6,629
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$638
Closed-position win rate
75%
53 closed
Wallet age · markets
192d
59 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -4.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | LOW SELL No @ 88¢ | $10.9k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ | $13.6k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf22eae…