← Wallets
+$24.5kYes · avg 27¢ → 39¢ · $79.0k+$6,697Yes · avg 20¢ → 41¢ · $12.9k+$4,322No · avg 15¢ → 43¢ · $6,663+$3,052No · avg 21¢ → 41¢ · $6,115+$1,547Yes · avg 18¢ → 44¢ · $2,610+$1,060No · avg 14¢ → 46¢ · $1,519+$918Yes · avg 16¢ → 41¢ · $1,486+$557Yes · avg 19¢ → 44¢ · $999
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +67.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+67.2 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$45.2k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$268.9k
Last 30 days +$38.8k · $8.99M volume · 20,064 trades · since Dec 31, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$212.9k
Open P&L · 35 positions
+$37.2k
Closed-position win rate
43%
221 closed
Wallet age · markets
662d
210 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | +67.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $19.3k | called |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 85¢ | $13.6k | called |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 21¢ | $12.3k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf0ca28…