← Wallets
+$2,041Yes · avg 69¢ → 82¢ · $12.5k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -10.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-10.1 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$21.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±30.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$20.7k
Last 30 days +$13.7k · $1.13M volume · 1,377 trades · since May 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$48.6k
Open P&L · 81 positions
−$68.8k
Closed-position win rate
65%
231 closed
Wallet age · markets
164d
298 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -10.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 10¢ | $10.1k | missed |
 LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | LOW SELL JD Gaming @ 99¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xef07fe…