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+$40Yes · avg 0.1¢ → 3.9¢ · $41+$8No · avg 12¢ → 96.7¢ · $9
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -8.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-8.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$133.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$9,492
Last 30 days −$16 · $78.71M volume · 57,519 trades · since Nov 28, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$124.1k
Open P&L · 5 positions
+$42
Closed-position win rate
41%
230 closed
Wallet age · markets
330d
182 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -8.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 8.3¢ | $11.1k | missed |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 1.7¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 1.3¢ | $21.1k | excluded |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $50.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xee3ecc…