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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -49.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-49.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$100.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$182.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $6.23M volume · 8,434 trades · since Mar 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$989.2k
Open P&L · 443 positions
−$612.7k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
213d
1169 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -49.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 77¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL No @ 41¢ | $40.8k | excluded |
 Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $14.7k | missed |
 Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xec8d7b…