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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +41.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+41.5 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$99.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$98.0k
Last 30 days −$27.8k · $857.4k volume · 613 trades · since May 05, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$35.4k
Open P&L · 56 positions
−$59.5k
Closed-position win rate
68%
131 closed
Wallet age · markets
173d
191 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +41.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Jets vs. Patriots | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| Jets vs. Patriots | LOW BUY Patriots @ 76¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 42¢ | $13.5k | called |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 81¢ | $40.6k | excluded |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xec5a3852788958a1448fc349a971a82e39012e90"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xec5a3852788958a1448fc349a971a82e39012e90.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xec5a38…