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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -5.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-5.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$158.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$10.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.34M volume · 30 trades · since Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$25.3k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$21.7k
Closed-position win rate
80%
5 closed
Wallet age · markets
132d
9 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -5.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $15.0k | called |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ | $42.6k 2.8× usual |
called |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 39¢ | $25.2k | called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $11.0k | missed |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 19¢ | $15.2k | missed |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 27¢ | $24.4k | missed |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 10¢ | $10.3k | missed |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 5.3¢ | $14.5k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe8d8e7…