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web3player

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$15.4kNo · avg 50¢ → 95.9¢ · $32.3kWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$15.4kYes · avg 50¢ → 4.2¢ · $1,397Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?−$57Yes · avg 80¢ → 72¢ · $477Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$26Yes · avg 18¢ → 21¢ · $247Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$13Yes · avg 85¢ → 91.5¢ · $183Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$78Yes · avg 16¢ → 9.8¢ · $118Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$31Yes · avg 11¢ → 8.8¢ · $106
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$204.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,841
Last 30 days −$33 · $5.37M volume · 13,969 trades · since Sep 27, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$44.5k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$125
Closed-position win rate
99%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
392d
1195 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $10.5k100% 243d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $10.2k100% 246d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $10.4k0% 276d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $10.4k100% 276d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.3k0% 277d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.3k100% 277d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $10.3k0% 283d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $10.3k100% 283d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $10.3k0% 283d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $10.3k100% 284d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $10.2k0% 284d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $10.2k100% 284d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $10.0k1% 293d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $10.0k100% 293d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $10.0k1% 293d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $10.0k99% 293d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $10.0k1% 295d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $20.3k100% 296d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $10.1k99% 296d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$10.5k
LOW web3player · 243d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$10.2k
LOW web3player · 246d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$10.4k
LOW web3player · 276d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$10.4k
LOW web3player · 276d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$10.3k
LOW web3player · 277d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$10.3k
LOW web3player · 277d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$10.3k
LOW web3player · 283d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$10.3k
LOW web3player · 283d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.6¢$10.3k
LOW web3player · 283d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$10.3k
LOW web3player · 284d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded
SELL No @ 99.6¢$10.2k
LOW web3player · 284d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$10.2k
LOW web3player · 284d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded
SELL No @ 99.5¢$10.0k
LOW web3player · 293d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$10.0k
LOW web3player · 293d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.2¢$10.0k
LOW web3player · 293d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.3¢$10.0k
LOW web3player · 293d ago
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?excluded
SELL No @ 99.5¢$10.0k
LOW web3player · 295d ago
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$20.3k
LOW web3player · 296d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.9¢$10.1k
LOW web3player · 296d ago

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