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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$76.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$16.7k
Last 30 days +$24 · $243.8k volume · 44 trades · since Mar 04, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$15.0k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$1,666
Closed-position win rate
32%
19 closed
Wallet age · markets
235d
23 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 89¢ | $11.8k | missed |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 91.2¢ | $12.1k | called |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $16.0k | missed |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 75¢ | $16.0k | missed |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 93.6¢ | $20.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe84ae7…