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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +11.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+11.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$117.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$154.9k
Last 30 days +$100 · $14.41M volume · 31,351 trades · since Jun 04, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.78M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$88.5k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
1968d
8426 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +11.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
 Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $13.3k | called |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
 Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe83cc0…