← Wallets
−$144Yes · avg 7.4¢ → 4.5¢ · $225
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -58.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-58.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$36.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$124.9k
Last 30 days −$90 · $1.35M volume · 510 trades · since Jan 25, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$148.4k
Open P&L · 51 positions
−$269.7k
Closed-position win rate
91%
43 closed
Wallet age · markets
272d
93 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -58.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $10.0k | missed |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe733d5…