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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did -33.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-33.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$23.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$8,049
Last 30 days +$0 · $601.6k volume · 384 trades · since Jun 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$7,092
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$873
Closed-position win rate
49%
108 closed
Wallet age · markets
131d
110 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.7 | -33.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $10.5k | called |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $13.2k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe60a92…