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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -10.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-10.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$94.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±30.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$362.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $14.48M volume · 16,438 trades · since Apr 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.28M
Open P&L · 15 positions
−$55.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
185d
912 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -10.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY Gen.G @ 64¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
 England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED BUY England @ 54¢ | $25.1k | excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 72¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner | LOW SELL Bilibili Gaming @ 40¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner | LOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 56¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 10¢ | $10.6k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe40548…