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0xe3d8…ba1d

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?−$1No · avg 95.4¢ → 93.5¢ · $54
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$52.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$66
Last 30 days +$1 · $103.6k volume · 85 trades · since Oct 08, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$45
Open P&L · 12 positions
−$21
Closed-position win rate
97%
62 closed
Wallet age · markets
746d
74 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $26.2k0% 379d agoexcluded
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $26.2k100% 380d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe3d822…