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LINKEIN

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$137.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$14.5k
Last 30 days +$32 · $2.94M volume · 1,872 trades · since Oct 01, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$15.2k
Open P&L · 4 positions
+$10
Closed-position win rate
85%
342 closed
Wallet age · markets
753d
318 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $29.8k99% 143d agoexcluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 190d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $24.9k100% 198d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $63.2k
2.3× usual
100% 268d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe3915f…