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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$100.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$2,433
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.73M volume · 900 trades · since Feb 19, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2,433
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
98%
88 closed
Wallet age · markets
247d
88 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $43.6k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe385cc…