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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did -33.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-33.5 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$85.2k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$26.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $209.1k volume · 11 trades · since Jul 07, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$22.8k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$48.0k
Closed-position win rate
100%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
109d
6 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 2.0 | -33.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW BUY France @ 66¢ | $28.3k | missed |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY France @ 60¢ | $19.5k | missed |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 75¢ | $37.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe0ccd3…