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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -56.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-56.7 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$84.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$5,054
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.50M volume · 524 trades · since Mar 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$278.8k
Open P&L · 97 positions
−$334.8k
Closed-position win rate
67%
162 closed
Wallet age · markets
215d
305 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -56.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $47.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
 Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW BUY FUT Esports @ 57¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW SELL FUT Esports @ 99.9¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdf2ae1…