← Wallets
+$258No · avg 94.7¢ → 95.8¢ · $23.9k+$562No · avg 91.3¢ → 93.5¢ · $23.5k+$811No · avg 93.4¢ → 96.9¢ · $23.0k+$1,958No · avg 79¢ → 90.5¢ · $15.4k+$424No · avg 92¢ → 94.8¢ · $14.4k+$389No · avg 92.8¢ → 96.8¢ · $9,472+$279No · avg 93.7¢ → 97.4¢ · $7,422+$79No · avg 95¢ → 96.5¢ · $4,901
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +9.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+9.9 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$26.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$15.7k
Last 30 days +$8,342 · $864.4k volume · 503 trades · since Feb 25, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$20.8k
Open P&L · 39 positions
+$6,076
Closed-position win rate
85%
100 closed
Wallet age · markets
242d
139 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | +9.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $10.6k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $15.6k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xddf0d9…