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4UW15AS

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$49.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1,115
Last 30 days +$0 · $348.9k volume · 191 trades · since Jan 31, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$1,115
Open P&L · 2 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
98%
61 closed
Wallet age · markets
266d
63 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $38.8k96% 136d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 95¢ $10.3k5% 138d agocalled

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