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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$257.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$8,927
Last 30 days +$0 · $421.8k volume · 63 trades · since Aug 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$9,941
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$1,000
Closed-position win rate
67%
12 closed
Wallet age · markets
65d
12 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $99.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 68¢ | $92.1k | called |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $37.2k | missed |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $28.8k | missed |
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