← Wallets
−$852Aurora Gaming · avg 61¢ → 40¢ · $1,648−$1,805Ann Li · avg 64¢ → 26¢ · $1,195
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -42.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-42.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$84.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$108.5k
Last 30 days −$23.2k · $11.22M volume · 4,889 trades · since Nov 11, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$942.5k
Open P&L · 401 positions
−$490.8k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
347d
2689 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -42.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Suns | LOW BUY Warriors @ 42¢ | $10.6k | missed |
 Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | LOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 95¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | LOW SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
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