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Iluminater

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?+$1No · avg 77¢ → 93.5¢ · $7
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$12.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$137
Last 30 days +$0 · $361.0k volume · 328 trades · since Oct 13, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$103
Open P&L · 10 positions
−$34
Closed-position win rate
83%
94 closed
Wallet age · markets
741d
103 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $12.0k100% 191d agoexcluded

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