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+$12Yes · avg 24¢ → 83¢ · $17
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +17.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+17.3 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$13.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±37.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1,539
Last 30 days −$6 · $603.9k volume · 581 trades · since Dec 05, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$855
Open P&L · 23 positions
−$4,574
Closed-position win rate
28%
200 closed
Wallet age · markets
323d
222 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +17.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 17¢ | $13.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd702c8…