sciuboi

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?−$100Yes · avg 88¢ → 88¢ · $26.2k Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?−$129Yes · avg 92¢ → 91.5¢ · $23.6k Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?−$83Yes · avg 84¢ → 84¢ · $12.6k Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?−$52No · avg 92¢ → 91.5¢ · $9,599 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?+$2,816Yes · avg 45¢ → 71¢ · $7,587 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?+$101No · avg 82¢ → 84¢ · $4,814 Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?+$53No · avg 97¢ → 98.4¢ · $3,843 Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?−$1,623Yes · avg 64¢ → 44¢ · $3,377

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$60.9k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$270.2k

Last 30 days +$3,695 · $13.72M volume · 18,344 trades · since Nov 10, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$506.5k

Open P&L · 276 positions

−$30.5k

Closed-position win rate

66%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

713d

578 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢	$22.0k	88%	14h ago	pending
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢	$28.7k	1%	261d ago	excluded
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢	$10.3k	97%	274d ago	excluded

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?pending

BUY Yes @ 88¢$22.0k

LOW sciuboi · 14h ago

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?excluded

SELL No @ 99.2¢$28.7k

LOW sciuboi · 261d ago

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?excluded

BUY No @ 97.1¢$10.3k

LOW sciuboi · 274d ago

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