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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did +24.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+24.2 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$62.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$29.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.09M volume · 190 trades · since Dec 30, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$45.4k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$15.2k
Closed-position win rate
68%
25 closed
Wallet age · markets
298d
31 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | +24.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96.5¢ | $18.2k | called |
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $16.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd61c99…