melidani

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$17.5k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$12.4k

Last 30 days +$0 · $154.2k volume · 15 trades · since Jan 24, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$326

Open P&L · 3 positions

−$527

Closed-position win rate

33%

3 closed

Wallet age · markets

273d

5 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢	$17.5k	98%	201d ago	excluded

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY No @ 97.7¢$17.5k

LOW New wallet melidani · 201d ago

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