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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did -13.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-13.2 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$280.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$54.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.80M volume · 652 trades · since Nov 04, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$971.7k
Open P&L · 107 positions
−$916.4k
Closed-position win rate
94%
172 closed
Wallet age · markets
354d
277 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.3 | -13.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Golden Knights vs. Ducks | LOW SELL Golden Knights @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
 Clippers vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Warriors @ 51¢ | $53.3k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $53.3k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | LOW BUY Celtics @ 57¢ | $30.4k | called |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $47.0k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | LOW BUY Raptors @ 56¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $20.0k | called |
 Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev | LOW SELL Zverev @ 78¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd56837…