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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -42.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-42.8 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$78.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$184.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.33M volume · 421 trades · since Jul 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$95.7k
Open P&L · 11 positions
−$253.5k
Closed-position win rate
69%
16 closed
Wallet age · markets
115d
25 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.9 | -42.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Norway @ 36¢ | $26.4k | missed |
 LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY G2 Esports @ 78¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Mexico @ 50¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner | LOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 47¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xd532c384169a3e7b0205d605085969873c4325ef"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xd532c384169a3e7b0205d605085969873c4325ef.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd532c3…