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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did +80.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+80.1 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$47.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±39.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$331.7k
Last 30 days +$10.3k · $8.06M volume · 14,633 trades · since Oct 04, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$454.3k
Open P&L · 43 positions
+$58.0k
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
750d
880 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | +80.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW SELL No @ 80¢ | $12.8k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd44e97…