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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$253.7k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $23.2k | excluded |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $23.1k | excluded |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
 Will Trump dance today? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will Trump dance today? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
 Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $26.8k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.6k | excluded |
 US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $26.5k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $26.3k | excluded |
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