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+$512Yes · avg 25¢ → 80¢ · $751+$72Yes · avg 37¢ → 60¢ · $192+$25Yes · avg 74¢ → 98.5¢ · $104+$8Yes · avg 23¢ → 26¢ · $78−$11Yes · avg 50¢ → 20¢ · $7 · 0 proven with, 1 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -12.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-12.4 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$80.3k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$58.3k
Last 30 days −$2,215 · $3.05M volume · 8,644 trades · since May 07, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$57.3k
Open P&L · 103 positions
−$29.2k
Closed-position win rate
53%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
170d
516 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 1.4 | -12.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 46¢ | $17.0k | missed |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Norway @ 35¢ | $26.9k | called |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 81¢ | $36.4k | missed |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xd133d98e41e0be0016d559ac90182ad95db6ef27"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xd133d98e41e0be0016d559ac90182ad95db6ef27.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd133d9…