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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -59.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-59.8 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$96.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$54.9k
Last 30 days −$945 · $8.90M volume · 902 trades · since Apr 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$37.8k
Open P&L · 37 positions
−$15.7k
Closed-position win rate
48%
330 closed
Wallet age · markets
178d
370 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -59.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY France @ 60¢ | $26.1k | missed |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 84¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
 Spurs vs. Knicks | MED BUY Knicks @ 23¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Spurs @ 72¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd026b7…