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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$52.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$361
Last 30 days +$0 · $335.0k volume · 444 trades · since Jan 31, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$359
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$2
Closed-position win rate
88%
111 closed
Wallet age · markets
266d
102 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 84¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc9a5df…