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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +11.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+11.8 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$62.7k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$16.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $3.66M volume · 659 trades · since Jan 13, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$19.3k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$5,094
Closed-position win rate
64%
11 closed
Wallet age · markets
284d
14 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 1.6 | +11.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $12.8k | missed |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 23¢ | $10.2k | called |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 33¢ | $21.3k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc931d4…