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+$589Yes · avg 84¢ → 98.5¢ · $4,008+$143No · avg 84¢ → 95¢ · $1,237+$33Yes · avg 66¢ → 77¢ · $231+$10Yes · avg 20¢ → 21¢ · $206+$3No · avg 76¢ → 78¢ · $155−$12Yes · avg 7.2¢ → 6.6¢ · $126+$15Yes · avg 11¢ → 12¢ · $125−$100Yes · avg 16¢ → 6.5¢ · $65
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$14.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$3,557
Last 30 days +$430 · $669.0k volume · 1,401 trades · since Feb 03, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$7,631
Open P&L · 30 positions
−$4,055
Closed-position win rate
80%
140 closed
Wallet age · markets
263d
169 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
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