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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.0 wins, so it did -0.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-0.3 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
3.0
Flagged volume
$66.0k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$9,310
Last 30 days +$0 · $898.8k volume · 424 trades · since Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$34.1k
Open P&L · 77 positions
−$23.0k
Closed-position win rate
49%
218 closed
Wallet age · markets
194d
305 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 39¢ | $26.0k | called |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 18¢ | $12.3k | called |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 21¢ | $14.4k | called |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ | $13.4k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc6325d…