← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -7.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-7.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$74.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$64
Last 30 days +$0 · $152.5k volume · 37 trades · since Oct 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$17
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$81
Closed-position win rate
71%
17 closed
Wallet age · markets
368d
19 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -7.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $64.2k | excluded |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 92.7¢ | $10.2k | missed |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xc3960073c4e778a735f15d092611a14f19dc43b5"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xc3960073c4e778a735f15d092611a14f19dc43b5.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc39600…