← Wallets
−$2,320Yes · avg 51¢ → 3.7¢ · $180
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did +63.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+63.8 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$39.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$3,015
Last 30 days −$778 · $3.51M volume · 7,653 trades · since Jan 30, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$20.1k
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$21.0k
Closed-position win rate
48%
143 closed
Wallet age · markets
998d
134 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +63.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 69¢ | $13.7k | missed |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $10.2k | called |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 64¢ | $15.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc2d582…