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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -55.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-55.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$27.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$111.2k
Last 30 days −$5,886 · $1.57M volume · 259 trades · since May 27, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$163.8k
Open P&L · 88 positions
−$261.6k
Closed-position win rate
92%
73 closed
Wallet age · markets
150d
160 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -55.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D | LOW SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
 United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY United States @ 55¢ | $15.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc23e33…