← Wallets
−$10Yes · avg 47¢ → 47¢ · $1,785
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did -33.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-33.7 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$140.8k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$27.7k
Last 30 days −$922 · $6.19M volume · 6,214 trades · since Jan 09, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$312.9k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$2,401
Closed-position win rate
91%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
288d
626 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 2 | 0 | 1.1 | -56.5 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +12.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xbdc3e4…