← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did +37.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+37.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$305.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$179.6k
Last 30 days +$99 · $6.52M volume · 6,023 trades · since Feb 06, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 404 closed
+$403.0k
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$222.0k
Closed-position win rate
87%
404 closed
Wallet age · markets
260d
419 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.3 | +37.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $17.3k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | MED BUY No @ 75¢ | $30.8k | called |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY England @ 51¢ | $27.3k | called |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $73.0k | excluded |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $85.7k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $70.9k | excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xbdb0e406400033ada6ffe03f8915b5e23873f8ba"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xbdb0e406400033ada6ffe03f8915b5e23873f8ba.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xbdb0e4…