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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$225.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$5,279
Last 30 days −$1 · $5.15M volume · 6,283 trades · since Oct 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$9,504
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$107
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
372d
2092 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $60.7k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $40.9k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $49.9k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xbc40bc…