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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -38.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-38.0 pts
Called / graded
0/4
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$61.2k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$59.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $6.87M volume · 296 trades · since Jun 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$31.8k
Open P&L · 15 positions
−$102.4k
Closed-position win rate
50%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
848d
18 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 0 | 1.5 | -38.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY France @ 60¢ | $14.9k | missed |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $10.3k | missed |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Norway @ 35¢ | $10.5k | missed |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $15.5k | missed |
 Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 1¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xbba848…