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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +18.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+18.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$557.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±38.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$135.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $5.90M volume · 9,629 trades · since Feb 28, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 435 closed
+$280.8k
Open P&L · 38 positions
−$417.1k
Closed-position win rate
89%
435 closed
Wallet age · markets
238d
458 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +18.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spurs vs. Knicks | MED BUY Spurs @ 95¢ | $114.2k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | MED BUY Spurs @ 69¢ | $64.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Spurs @ 77¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | MED BUY Spurs @ 66¢ | $56.6k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 79¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | MED BUY Spurs @ 62¢ | $32.8k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | MED BUY Thunder @ 82¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | LOW BUY Knicks @ 86¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 83¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 57¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | LOW SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | LOW BUY Knicks @ 92¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 88¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 84¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 82¢ | $11.4k | called |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | LOW BUY Spurs @ 88¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Rockets vs. Wizards | LOW BUY Rockets @ 87¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | LOW SELL Lakers @ 92¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Lakers @ 60¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Lakers @ 62¢ | $20.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb9e54e…