← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.7 wins, so it did +11.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+11.0 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.7
Flagged volume
$248.6k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$63.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.58M volume · 1,615 trades · since Oct 27, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$239.8k
Open P&L · 43 positions
−$176.8k
Closed-position win rate
78%
82 closed
Wallet age · markets
363d
110 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 3 | 3 | 2.7 | +11.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $26.7k | called |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $110.4k | called |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $12.1k | called |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $99.4k | excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xb9b609ea2838c29126ba923726ee3192ca71630c"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xb9b609ea2838c29126ba923726ee3192ca71630c.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb9b609…