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MIracle33

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +25.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+25.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$20.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±43.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$3,178
Last 30 days +$3,413 · $2.00M volume · 7,858 trades · since Mar 07, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$262.4k
Open P&L · 278 positions
−$55.7k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
231d
2153 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports110.8+25.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?LOW SELL Yes @ 93¢ $10.2k7% 123d agoexcluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ $10.5k75% 127d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb79740…