← Wallets
+$16Yes · avg 1.2¢ → 40¢ · $16
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.6 wins, so it did -21.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-21.1 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
2.6
Flagged volume
$32.8k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$194.5k
Last 30 days −$7,834 · $276.36M volume · 530,602 trades · since May 19, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$3.29M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$157.0k
Closed-position win rate
90%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
158d
2063 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 2.6 | -21.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 17¢ | $10.1k | missed |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 8.8¢ | $11.4k | called |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 11¢ | $11.3k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb687f0…