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+$4No · avg 97.7¢ → 98.6¢ · $493−$0No · avg 98.5¢ → 98.5¢ · $492+$47No · avg 50¢ → 96.8¢ · $97
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$23.7k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$5,024
Last 30 days +$4 · $424.9k volume · 404 trades · since Mar 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$2,150
Open P&L · 23 positions
−$246
Closed-position win rate
53%
15 closed
Wallet age · markets
209d
18 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb39b82…